India and the 400 hope

Looking at what happened with the wicket today, India are way behind, but there is still a chance.

Do you know how people got rich in cricket trading, they bet against the draw. In modern cricket, draws almost disappeared entirely, but modern fans never caught up. So casual fans would see no wickets in the first session and decide that this means the pitch was flat, and they'd bet on the draws. 

The problem was cricket had changed entirely. By 2000, draws were uncommon. When the pace pandemic happened, we saw that number half again.

Yet, people kept betting on this again and again. In the first half of the 21st century, it made a bit of sense because we saw many runs. But it took a long time for casual bettors to work out that one hour without a wicket didn't mean the pitch was flat once they stopped. So the traders did well.  

I believe cricket watchers are programmed to think at the slightest pause in wickets, we will never see one again. 

The other place you see this is when a team is chasing a massive total in the fourth innings, and they start to score easily. 

That is what India did on day four. Rohit came out, even giving it a little bazball shuffle to change the length. Shubman Gill played an effortless shot that raced to the rope like the ball was afraid of him. At that point, the Indian fans at the ground were massively up, and they had reason to be.