Good Areas

Good Areas

Share this post

Good Areas
Good Areas
MS Dhoni and the super gut
Copy link
Facebook
Email
Notes
More
User's avatar
Discover more from Good Areas
In cricket's footmarks.
Over 7,000 subscribers
Already have an account? Sign in

MS Dhoni and the super gut

We try simplify what the greats do, and by doing so we often end up selling them short.

Jarrod Kimber's avatar
Jarrod Kimber
Jun 30, 2020
22

Share this post

Good Areas
Good Areas
MS Dhoni and the super gut
Copy link
Facebook
Email
Notes
More
9
Share

Dennis Rodman used to watch players shoot in warm-up. He'd look at footage as well. He wanted to know what happened when the ball missed, did their shots go left or right,  was there a big bounce or would he have to be closer to the rim. This may have looked like chance to others, but he believed rebounding was partly reading the shooters. He was ensuring every opportunity was more in his favour. This was one reason Rodman became the greatest modern rebounder. 

The narrative wasn't that strong around his preparation.  Rodman was seen as an athlete who hustled more than anyone else. The technique and skill were overlooked.

This isn't a one-off thing. You watch a header goal in football and one player jumps and meets it perfectly, and the rest don't move. The commentator will say, "He wanted it more". Often ignoring the many obvious technical reasons, like the closest defender losing his footing, another misreading the ball and a third is just out of position. It's not that individual athletes don't try harder, but that's hard to define or prove, and it becomes a catchall for all success. 

All of this comes to mind after someone tweeted me this. 

Twitter avatar for @bantofu
Archit Puri @bantofu
@arihantp @cricbuzz Player performances are non-ergodic (past mean doesn't determine next performance). Is this why MSD's gut-feeling/intuition driven approach (for CSK) often works as well if not better than the data heavy strategies used by most T20 teams? CC: @fwildecricket, @ajarrodkimber
8:12 AM ∙ Jun 26, 2020

It's the gut/intuition that bothers me here. And this is not having a go at this tweeter, this is the definitive narrative about MS Dhoni. But your guts have sh*t for brains, so let's ignore that for a moment, and look at intuition. That means you feel it in your bones, that you have this near-magical ability to just get cricket. Like Dhoni was somehow born with more cricket knowledge than others. That's obviously not how these things work. What Dhoni had to do was learn. 

We like to superheroise the best athletes, but we don't want to show how the sausage was made. That often doesn't fit the narrative. 

Dhoni wasn't born with this, he picked it up; step by step. This is learned knowledge, and the easiest way to see is in the decisions he makes. He is brilliant at matchups. Now I don't know if that is his memory, or he's playing the percentages (which he often does), or it's because someone has given him this information. But it's undervaluing his intelligence and game sense to say it's just something within him. He had to know that a certain player would struggle at the death against left-arm spin, and then he needed the calmness of mind to recall it, and if it's a risky strategy, he needs the self-belief to pull it off.  

We see it as a gut call because we don't have his knowledge. Most captains, even the poorer ones, are reading the size of the boundaries, wind direction, if one end is easier/tougher to score from, and the batsmen's likely boundary options for each bowler.  Dhoni is less magical and more like an extreme pragmatist, a living cricket algorithm. It's possible he doesn't spend as much time with his analyst or watching clips as other captains (though, I'm not sure that's true), but he is in a state of constant learning. Because as an analyst who watches him, captain, I'd suggest he's making these calls based on previous results. 

How he learns that information, whether through an enthusiastic Chennai Aussie-fan super-nerd analyst or via just sitting on his sofa and watching the games. People learn in distinct ways. And it's clear he has a different brain than other captains. 

After India lost to Australia in the semi-final of the 2015 World Cup, everyone wanted to know why they hadn't gone harder. Dhoni said they weren't built to score at that rate. Dhoni looked at his middle order and knew that it couldn't chase a total like that, even with him there. That is not how most athletes think, they are trained to believe they can win from anywhere. Dhoni has never worked that way, many times I've been in press conferences where he's given such an honest, analytical reason for the loss. 

This is what he takes into his plans, what might look like stunning gut led intuition is him being pragmatic. It's him working a match up so that instead of it being a 50/50 shot, it's 60/40 in favour of his team. And he does this regularly. 

Cricket captains like Dhoni have extra skills. They're often better at man management, think clearer in high-pressure environments, and possess incredible memory recall. They're not some kind of Hollywood trope autistic rain man. 

And to be fair to the original tweeter, he was working towards this answer himself. 

Twitter avatar for @bantofu
Archit Puri @bantofu
@ajarrodkimber @arihantp @cricbuzz @fwildecricket We're on the same page, I think deeply thinking about your past experiences to develop heuristics is a skill.
11:24 AM ∙ Jun 26, 2020

The idea of this super gut is just silly, and yet so many sports fans feel that way. It's great to think of the magical elf-like creatures who bounce out of their mothers with sport skills that salty veterans dream of. But it's unfair. You can be gifted with more talent than others, and these abilities might give you an advantage. It's up to you what you make of them. There are incredible natural athletes who never even arrive at the top level of sport because physical gifts aren't all of it. Most of the best stars are a combination of so many factors. We look at one or two and often give them a supernatural air. 

Rodman didn't have a sixth sense where the ball was going, Dhoni doesn't have an intuitive gut. They use work and intelligence to make the most out of themselves. Less magical, more conventional.

Share

22

Share this post

Good Areas
Good Areas
MS Dhoni and the super gut
Copy link
Facebook
Email
Notes
More
9
Share

Discussion about this post

User's avatar
saurabh's avatar
saurabh
Jun 30, 2020

The fact that this was even a subject is in itself incredible and then to articulate the way you did is even more phenomenal. Thank you

Expand full comment
Like (1)
Reply
Share
1 reply by Jarrod Kimber
@boredwallaby's avatar
@boredwallaby
Jun 30, 2020

This is brilliant analysis, J-Rod. Thanks dude.

Expand full comment
Like (1)
Reply
Share
1 reply by Jarrod Kimber
7 more comments...
How two new balls changed ODI cricket
In October 2011, cricket changed how many new balls it uses in ODI cricket. So we looked into what actually changed.
Sep 14, 2023 â€¢ 
Jarrod Kimber
7

Share this post

Good Areas
Good Areas
How two new balls changed ODI cricket
Copy link
Facebook
Email
Notes
More
Virat Kohli was flawless
Batsmen make errors, but for this knock, Kohli was at war with mistakes.
Feb 9, 2021 â€¢ 
Jarrod Kimber
15

Share this post

Good Areas
Good Areas
Virat Kohli was flawless
Copy link
Facebook
Email
Notes
More
6
The bias against spinning pitches
A look at many of the reasons that we react as we do when a pitch spins on day one.
Feb 14, 2021 â€¢ 
Jarrod Kimber
21

Share this post

Good Areas
Good Areas
The bias against spinning pitches
Copy link
Facebook
Email
Notes
More
16

Ready for more?

© 2025 Jarrod Kimber
Privacy ∙ Terms ∙ Collection notice
Start writingGet the app
Substack is the home for great culture

Share

Copy link
Facebook
Email
Notes
More

Create your profile

User's avatar

Only paid subscribers can comment on this post

Already a paid subscriber? Sign in

Check your email

For your security, we need to re-authenticate you.

Click the link we sent to , or click here to sign in.