Hi Jarrod. It's always a pleasure reading your blog. Thanks for your posts.
I did a similar exercise about two weeks back. My model was a tad more complicated, but the logic behind it is largely the same and the results similar as well.
This is my evaluation of the difficulty of the draw:
1. England & S.A, 3. Sri Lanka, 4. Australia, 5. Ba…
Hi Jarrod. It's always a pleasure reading your blog. Thanks for your posts.
I did a similar exercise about two weeks back. My model was a tad more complicated, but the logic behind it is largely the same and the results similar as well.
This is my evaluation of the difficulty of the draw:
1. England & S.A, 3. Sri Lanka, 4. Australia, 5. Bangladesh, 6. India, 7. New Zealand, 8. Pakistan, 9. West Indies.
This is my predicted rankings:
1. India - 74%, 2. Pakistan - 64%, 3. New Zealand - 62%, 4. Australia - 61%, 5. England - 57%, 6. West Indies - 39%, 7. SA - 33%, 8. Sri Lanka - 31%, 9. Bangladesh - 8%.
Due to the easy draw, I expect India to definitely make it to the final. Close fight between Pakistan, New Zealand and Australia for the 2nd place.
Hi Jarrod. It's always a pleasure reading your blog. Thanks for your posts.
I did a similar exercise about two weeks back. My model was a tad more complicated, but the logic behind it is largely the same and the results similar as well.
This is my evaluation of the difficulty of the draw:
1. England & S.A, 3. Sri Lanka, 4. Australia, 5. Bangladesh, 6. India, 7. New Zealand, 8. Pakistan, 9. West Indies.
This is my predicted rankings:
1. India - 74%, 2. Pakistan - 64%, 3. New Zealand - 62%, 4. Australia - 61%, 5. England - 57%, 6. West Indies - 39%, 7. SA - 33%, 8. Sri Lanka - 31%, 9. Bangladesh - 8%.
Due to the easy draw, I expect India to definitely make it to the final. Close fight between Pakistan, New Zealand and Australia for the 2nd place.
https://drive.google.com/file/d/1ikFV_2tav6ftN_HlXbZ96lZW7Xmel5AY/view?usp=sharing